Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.329008 0.390189 0.458496 0.540255 0.635289 0.742105 0.871088
2025-02-09 0.245464 0.326649 0.427032 0.559588 0.729259 0.938307 1.214445
2025-02-16 0.190077 0.275755 0.390044 0.552236 0.774811 1.067592 1.479561
2025-02-23 0.149242 0.233078 0.352336 0.532117 0.793496 1.156294 1.693704
2025-03-02 0.118392 0.197619 0.317007 0.506908 0.797396 1.219938 1.874316
2025-03-09 0.104870 0.185400 0.312909 0.525213 0.864216 1.377081 2.201319
2025-03-16 0.086695 0.162241 0.287830 0.506495 0.870508 1.442453 2.394856
2025-03-23 0.077437 0.152425 0.282572 0.518235 0.925048 1.585539 2.719541
2025-03-30 0.069355 0.143244 0.276824 0.527801 0.976023 1.726289 3.051431
2025-04-06 0.060494 0.131062 0.263889 0.522681 1.000462 1.824275 3.319754
2025-04-13 0.053189 0.120660 0.252660 0.518888 1.026098 1.925425 3.600499
2025-04-20 0.049234 0.116430 0.252545 0.535698 1.090468 2.098775 4.019941
2025-04-27 0.049375 0.121246 0.271471 0.592784 1.238267 2.437582 4.769146
2025-05-04 0.045889 0.117528 0.272585 0.614598 1.320873 2.665253 5.337010
2025-05-11 0.040311 0.108001 0.260067 0.606608 1.343361 2.781834 5.707236
2025-05-18 0.034481 0.096772 0.242150 0.584665 1.334677 2.837091 5.964208
2025-05-25 0.029137 0.085711 0.222923 0.557163 1.310917 2.859762 6.158280
2025-06-01 0.027404 0.083732 0.224632 0.577134 1.390905 3.097153 6.797282
2025-06-08 0.023611 0.075434 0.209841 0.556713 1.379538 3.145459 7.055702
2025-06-15 0.021982 0.072906 0.209030 0.569522 1.444085 3.357441 7.667349
2025-06-22 0.020392 0.070194 0.207356 0.579957 1.504057 3.564131 8.282729
2025-06-29 0.018281 0.065489 0.199721 0.574371 1.525519 3.688373 8.730329
2025-07-06 0.016465 0.061340 0.192987 0.570234 1.549926 3.820807 9.205121